منابع مشابه
The Development of Subjective Bayesianism
The Bayesian approach to inductive reasoning originated in two brilliant insights. In 1654 Blaise Pascal, while in the course of a correspondence with Fermat [1769], recognized that states of uncertainty can be quantified using probabilities and expectations. In the early 1760s Thomas Bayes [1763] first understood that learning can be represented probabilistically using what is now called Bayes...
متن کاملThe Objectivity of Subjective Bayesian Inference
Subjective Bayesianism is a major school of uncertain reasoning and statistical inference. Yet, it is often criticized for an apparent lack of objectivity. By and large, these criticisms come in three different forms. First, the lack of constraints on prior probabilities, second, the entanglement of statistical evidence and degree of belief, third, the apparent blindness to bias in experimental...
متن کاملThe Objectivity of Subjective Bayesian Inference
Subjective Bayesianism is a major school of uncertain reasoning and statistical inference. Yet, it is often criticized for an apparent lack of objectivity. By and large, these criticisms come in three different forms. First, the lack of constraints on prior probabilities, second, the entanglement of statistical evidence and degree of belief, third, the apparent blindness to bias in experimental...
متن کاملSubjectivism, Objectivism and Objectivity in Bruno De Finetti’s Bayesianism
The paper will focus on Bruno de Finetti’s position, which combines Bayesianism with a strictly subjective interpretation of probability. For de Finetti, probability is always subjective and expresses the degree of belief of the evaluating subject. His perspective does not accommodate a notion of “objective chance” in the way other subjectivists, including Frank Ramsey, do. To de Finetti’s eyes...
متن کاملThe limitation of Bayesianism
In the current discussion about the capacity of Bayesianism in reasoning under uncertainty, there is a conceptual and notational confusion between the explicit condition and the implicit condition of a probability evaluation. Consequently, the limitation of Bayesianism is often seriously underestimated. To represent the uncertainty of a belief system where revision is needed, it is not enough t...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: European Journal for Philosophy of Science
سال: 2018
ISSN: 1879-4912,1879-4920
DOI: 10.1007/s13194-018-0200-1